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April 23, 2021

Thus Spake Mungo: Malcolm’s exciting foreign affairs

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MungoThe first week of 2017 was dominated by the distraction of Australia’s spat with Indonesia – or more properly Indonesia’s spat with Australia.

The problem, it was belatedly revealed, was that the rotating troops training at the Campbell barracks in Perth were unhappy about some of the written material handed out for them and also about a couple of crude cracks from the local boys.

Not too serious, one might have thought; no more than locker room banter, as Donald Trump would no doubt call it. But obviously the crack fighters of Kopassus have not read The Australian. Apparently they are unaware that giving insult and offence to  ethnic and religious groups is part of the Australian way of life – the bulwark of free speech.

Any attempt to impose political correctness (or tact, or civility, as it used to be called) is an attack on democracy itself. It’s just as well the sensitive souls of Kopassus had not been told about section 18c of the Anti-Discrimination Act – they may well have complained to the a human Rights Commission and where would we be then?

Instead, they reported their dismay up the chain of command to the defence supremo, the abrasive Gatot Nurmantyo who promptly suspended all co-operation between the two countries. After a major kerfuffle, it appears that the suspension would, in fact, be suspended, but only after some major grovelling from our hapless defence minister, Marise Payne.

The upshot is likely to be that relations will continue – a fervent desire to be good neighbours from the political leaders of both sides, but fraught with tension and misunderstanding from just about everyone else. The theory remains that Indonesians are all right to visit, but we still don’t regard them as full allies or equals: they would almost certainly fail Peter Dutton’s plans for a revised citizenship, let alone his demands that European religious folk songs should be compulsory for primary schools children.

Malcolm Turnbull’s government seemed completely flat-footed when faced with the very real possibility of confrontation, either economic or military or both, between the United States and China.

But we digress. This particular foreign affair may be over, at least for now. But it is an indication of how easily things can spiral out of control if due diligence is not applied outside our borders as well as within them. I noted last week that Malcolm Turnbull’s government seemed completely flat-footed when faced with the very real possibility of confrontation, either economic or military or both, between the United States and China.

But now our glorious leader may also be forced to a rethink over the perennial carpet of eggshells that is Israel. Australia’s long standing position over the nation it helped to found has been that Israel has the right to exist within secure borders, but that there must eventually be a formula by which the Palestinian people can do the same – the so-called two state solution.

However, devising such a process has proved intractable for nearly 70 years. In hindsight, the impasse was always obvious: installing a Jewish population in a small area surrounded by hostile Arab neighbours was always a recipe for trouble. Many of the displaced Palestinians never have, and never will, accept what they saw as political fix, and fought back in their own ways.

Israel’s pre-emptive strike in 1967 annexed a chunk of Gaza from Egypt and a chunk of Jordan from the West Bank, and although Gaza was restored to a kind of autonomy under the newly constituted Palestinian Authority and an area of the West Bank received the same treatment, Israel sought to secure its borders through sanctions, restrictions and finally settlements.

These were always illegal under international law, but in spite of a few hiccups, the demands of a growing population for living space (or lebensraum, as an former expansionist regime once justified it) became the norm. And after years of frustration as negotiations stalled Barack Obama and John Kerry finally became frustrated. Sure, Israel may be the region’s only functioning democracy – although some Palestinians living within its greater borders would argue that it is a very incomplete one. But if Israel is meant to be the good guy, why must it be so intransigent? And why do so many Israeli politicians – including, at times, prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu flatly reject the two-state solution?

Hence when a raft of Western allies, including Britain, voted for a resolution condemning the settlement program, Washington broke the habit of a lifetime and abstained form vetoing it. There was outrage from the Right, of course, and Netanyahu, for whom any criticism of his regime is anti-semitism, pure and simple, announced it was a declaration of war from one of the sponsors, New Zealand.

But Australia, in the form of Julie Bishop, said that for us, nothing has changed: we always support Israel, but we also support a two state solution. The position was barely tenable, but it was at least credible – until Tony Abbott demanded that all aid to the Palestinians be cancelled and our embassy in Tel Aviv should follow Donald Trump’s threat to move America’s embassy to Israel.

Even Abbott’s most devoted allies, the Nationals, drew the line there: Barnaby Joyce and Fiona Nash told the former leader he was not helpful. And he isn’t – so what else is new. However, he has escalated an issue which Turnbull and Bishop would much rather remains in abeyance. But even without Abbott’s unhelpful intervention, they may be forced to reconsider. Trump has made it clear that his approach will be far more partisan and aggressive: it is all but certain that he will abandon the two state solution.

And as we know, when America acts, Australia follows. To do so, of course, will further antagonise the Arab nations and embolden local jihadists at a time when Turnbull desperately wants to bring as many Australian Moslems as possible into his revamped version of Team Australia. But to defy Trump’s ukase will outrage his recalcitrant right, for whom Israel is their own Holy Land.

This is hardly the start Turnbull wants for his new year, which is meant to be about economic delivery. It will be both a domestic labyrinth demanding all his agility and yet another exciting foreign affair he could do without.


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4 COMMENTS

  1. The first week of 2017 was dominated by Gold Coast tourism and real estate by the Health Minister Susan Ley when she made a diversionary trip with an addition to her portfolio was somewhat a distraction to the Australian populous as she added a $795,000 Main Beach unit to her collection of entitlements when the Age if Entitlements was over for any Ministers health in 2014, according to a previous treasurer, Joe Hockey.

  2. Always good to learn a new word, and Mungo is a regular provider of them, on this occasion ‘ukase’, deriving – appropriately, as it referred to the Russia-loving Trump – from Tsarist times, and meaning a decree with the force of law, an arbitrary or peremptory command.
    Another excellent column MM, may 2017 provide fodder for many more in this vein.

  3. …and of course the delights Suss Suzy has delivered with Madame Pompador de Kerosene’s support must be pleasing him enormously and Timor Leste rejecting Old Fishnet’s-That-Batter Downer’s treaty must be the icing on the cake.

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