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September 29, 2021

Berejiklian: the modelling is telling us ‘we’re likely to reach a peak in the next week or so’

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After Saturday’s record numbers of 1,533 new COVID-19 cases and then back to 1,485, NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian announced at 11am today that the numbers had gone back to 1,281 cases of community transmission in New South Wales, and five people lost their lives.

‘Last week I received late last week I received modelling on when our health experts think the peak will hit in terms of the number of cases, what the ICU requirements might be and what the number of people in hospital might be and I’m pleased to say that today we’ll be making all of that public.

‘I do want to qualify all of that to say that modelling depends on a number of things number of variables and too many of us do the wrong thing and there are too many super spreading events we could say, those numbers not being what they are.

The Premier said that there are currently 177 patients in NSW our intensive care units with COVID. ‘At any given time in our hospital system, there’d be around 400 People with non-COVID related issues in ICU.

‘Our surge capacity including staff in our Intensive Care Unit is 1,550,  just to give people that reassurance – we certainly don’t want to have to use all those beds and that staff because we know what pressure will put on the system, but I want everybody to very assure that the capacity is there.

Ms Berejiklian said that according to the modelling she has received, we’re likely to reach a peak in cases in the next week or so. ‘That’s what the modelling tells us, and therefore a likely peak in intensive care beds required around early to mid-October. That’s what the best modelling tells us at this stage but I do want to qualify that by saying that a number of variables are associated with that modelling.’

NSW Health’s ongoing sewage surveillance program recently detected fragments of the virus that causes COVID-19 in Byron Bay.

No recent cases have been detected but everyone is urged to monitor for the onset of symptoms, and if they appear, to immediately be tested and isolate until a negative result is received.


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3 COMMENTS

  1. Word salad from she who takes no responsibility and doesn’t give a damn.
    The selfish and foolish are rampant in Sydney, because messages and processes weren’t clear and the rich side of town didn’t get the same treatment.
    We’re in trouble deep.

    • …as the nightly news show us the dozens of Ambulances waiting hours at city hospital ED’s to unload their patients. That before Not my Glad’s forecast ‘peak-Covid’ arrives. Good luck Sydney when Not my Glad opens the Covid gates.

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