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Byron Shire
May 9, 2024

‘We have never seen a year like this’

Latest News

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Antarctic sea ice extent for September 10 2023, was 16.96 million square kilometers (6.55 million square miles). The orange line shows the 1981 to 2010 average extent for that day. Sea Ice Index data. Image https://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews

Antarctica’s sea ice has reached its annual maximum – a record low – and has started to recede as temperatures warm during spring.

That maximum area of sea ice that formed around Antarctica was recorded on September 10 – 16.956 million km2 – about 1.289 million km2 less than 2022’s previous record low.

For comparison, that’s an area larger than the size of the Northern Territory missing in a single year.

Compare this year’s record low to the peak from 2021, the area bulges to 1.884 million km2 – more than the size of Queensland.

That failure to form is troubling many scientists who have warned of the impacts record levels of human greenhouse gas emissions are having on atmospheric and ocean warming.

‘We have never seen a year like this,’ says Dr Edward Doddridge, a physical oceanographer at the University of Tasmania.

‘It feels like a step change. The ice has been below average since 2016 when it dropped really suddenly over 2015-2016, but this year it was like another jump down… there’s a huge gap between anything we have seen before.’

In conjunction with fellow Antarctic researcher Dr Ariaan Purich, Doddridge earlier this month described a ‘regime shift’ driven by atmospheric and ocean conditions surrounding Antarctica. They connect subsurface ocean warming to shifts in sea ice formation.

Compare this year’s record low to the peak from 2021, the area bulges to 1.884 million km2 – more than the size of Queensland.

Antarctic sea ice extent. Image osmosmagazine.com

Recently, an Australian Senate inquiry was convened to look at the decision by the Australian Antarctic Division to cut its operating budget by a sixth. In his submission Doddridge described the prospect of cuts during a year of record sea ice decline as ‘devastating,’ and he called for dedicated fieldwork to understand the shifts underway on the continent.

‘In order to be able to understand what’s going on with the sea ice, we need people down there measuring how thick it is, the snow on top, and the ocean underneath.’

The Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society – the professional association of the nation’s climate scientists – echoed that view, suggesting compromises to Antarctic research would diminish Australia’s reputation.

‘Australia’s international standing as leader in Antarctic science will be negatively impacted if its Antarctica and Southern Ocean science capabilities are reduced,’ AMOS says in its submission. ‘The only gateway to Antarctica for Australian and many international scientists is through the Antarctic Division. Reducing field work capabilities over the near term will mean a shift away from Australia for these logistical capabilities. This is likely to limit future opportunities for collaboration and innovation.’


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9 COMMENTS

  1. People need to be more ready to put on warm clothing in winter, and to tolerate heat more without air-con. You can dress for a Montana winter and even ride a bicycle there. Unless you are old or sick, heating a huge volume of air around you is just lazy and selfish. Get up and move around or put on a beanie. The many overflowing garbage and recycling bins around, are signs of people who don’t care about future generations or wildlife. The ‘growth economy’ imperative is a death knell for future living creatures except cockroaches.

    But above all, zero population growth is the only way the earth can remain a habitat for humans. It is selfish and irresponsible to have more children than a ‘replacement’. There is no excuse since humans can control their reproduction.

  2. The Emperor Penguin, our resident expert on matters Antarctic, can tell us plenty of what’s going wrong – the failure of the 2022 breeding season for the mighty Emperor Penguin.

    • The difference this time is we know both the how & the why it’s happening, & it wouldn’t be happening if not for our actions. Can hardly blame “nature”, that’s a huge cop out.

  3. More leftist alarmist propaganda everyone. Our one percent of anthropogenic carbon dioxide will surely cook the planet or worse.

    • Dear Greg,
      Is labelling everything you don’t like, or don’t understand “leftist” your response to everything?
      How can science be leftist? It’s just the facts. It’s reporting on what’s being seen. Where’s the lies in that? Most of us think facts & truth are important.
      Per capita our emissions are amongst the highest, then add in all our coal & gas exports & we’re amongst the worst climate criminals.
      Initially no-one knew better, but we have all known for 20+ years after 20+ years of debate before the evidence became incontrovertible.

      • N.See, 100%.
        And Greg’s mates over at Exxon knew it back in the late 1970’s – early 1980’s.
        From The Harvard Gazette, ‘Exxon disputed climate findings for years. Its scientists knew better. Research shows that company modeled and predicted global warming with ‘shocking skill and accuracy’ starting in the 1970s, BY Alice McCarthy,Harvard Correspondent, DATE January 12, 2023′.

        There is plenty of other material available on the internet for our Greg to get up to speed on the workings of the Exxon.

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